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F&M Poll: Harris Leads Trump Among Independent, Moderate PA Voters

While Democratic U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris maintains her three-point lead in Pennsylvania over Republican Donald Trump, and in a race that includes third-party candidates, she also has the advantage among registered independent (48% to 35%) and moderate voters (58% to 33%).

鈥淵ou want to have an advantage with those two groups,鈥 Berwood Yost, director of the Franklin & 四虎影院 Poll, said. 鈥淭hey鈥檙e going to decide the race, ultimately, but again, there鈥檚 still room to grow.鈥 

According to the latest F&M poll, Harris is favored among registered voters, 49% to 46%, which is within the poll鈥檚 margin of error, plus or minus 4.1 percentage points.

The top reasons that Harris voters give for supporting her candidacy include character (17%), women鈥檚 rights (15%), anti-Trumpism (12%), partisanship (10%), and democracy (8%). Voters supporting Trump cite economic policy (34%), immigration (15%) and partisanship (14%). 

The survey also recorded some notable findings. Here are some highlights:

  • Concern about the economy (34%), including unemployment and higher gas and utility prices, continues as the most important and often mentioned problem facing the state.
  • Concerns about government and politicians (9%), taxes (7%), education (6%) and crime (6%) are the other frequently expressed problems confronting the state.
  • More registered Pennsylvania voters believe the U.S. should have a less active role in world affairs (37%) than more active (16%), but a plurality (41%) believes it should maintain its current level of activity.
  • More than three in five (61%) voters believe the U.S. should provide more or the same amount of military support for Ukraine. Nearly one in five believes the United States should provide less military support (19%) to Ukraine and over one in seven (15%) wants all military aid withdrawn.
  • A plurality (48%) of registered voters think the U.S. should devote more resources to controlling immigration at the border, but more than one in four (26%) believe the U.S. should devote more to address issues that cause migration and over one in five (21%) believe it should do both.

F&M鈥檚 Center for Opinion Research conducted the poll between Sept. 4 and 15, recording the views of 890 registered voters鈥399 Democrats, 366 Republicans and 125 independents.

Visit for the complete poll results and analysis of voters鈥 sentiments on the latest issues and job approval ratings of elected officials. 

Election Day is Nov. 5.

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